Middle EastScore 74
Israeli forces in southern Lebanon as ground operation announced
Geopolitics•high intensity•high confidence
Israeli forces attacked multiple towns in southern Lebanon after announcing “limited and targeted ground operations."
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Geopolitics conditions and broader decision-making.
AllScore 72
Oscars 2026 live: Sinners, One Battle After Another race for Academy gold
Security•high intensity•low confidence
Sinners enters tonight's race with a record 16 Academy Award nominations, including for Best Picture and Best Director.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in All could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
AsiaScore 72
What’s the impact of the Iran war on China?
Security•high intensity•low confidence
The US-Israel war on Iran rages on and China says it should never have happened.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Asia could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
AllScore 72
‘Stop all these wars now’ says Oscar winner
Security•high intensity•low confidence
Oscar winner Pavel Talankin called for ‘an end to all wars’ as he received the best documentary award.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in All could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 72
Israel policy looms large over US elections in Illinois amid Iran war
Security•high intensity•low confidence
Pro-Israel groups pour millions into Democratic primaries in Chicago area as support for US ally hits a historic low.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
AllScore 72
Oscars 2026: Full list of winners
Security•high intensity•low confidence
One Battle After Another wins six Oscars, while Sinners takes four awards.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in All could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 72
Top Democrat in US House slams Trump’s ‘reckless war of choice’
Security•high intensity•low confidence
Democratic leader Hakeem Jeffries criticised Donald Trump for what he called a "reckless war on choice" on Iran".
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 68
Trump's confidence is undimmed - but every Iran option comes with risk
Security•high intensity•low confidence
The odds of a quick resolution to the war appear to be dwindling by the day, and the political stakes for the president are only growing.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Security conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 61
'A new norm': BBC visits Doha market starting to fill up again two weeks into Iran war
Markets•high intensity•low confidence
The BBC's International News correspondent, Barbara Plett Usher, visits Doha's Souq Waqif market as strikes in the region continue.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Markets conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 59
Top Trump adviser says Iran war price tag at $12bn so far
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
Pressure grows on the US president's administration as war costs spiral and the mission's endgame remains unclear.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 59
Iran war: What is happening on day 17 of US-Israel attacks?
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
Dubai contained a fire near its airport and temporarily suspended flights, while Trump claimed Iran wants to negotiate.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 59
Israeli attacks kill 13 in Gaza, including 2 children and a pregnant woman
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
Meanwhile, more than 20,000 patients await evacuation as the Rafah crossing is set to partially reopen on Wednesday.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 59
Drone strike disrupts Dubai flights as Iran continues Gulf attacks
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
Iran has sought to justify its attacks on Gulf countries, hitting civilian infrastructure as well as US assets.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
AsiaScore 59
Iran War Live Updates: Trump Says He Wants to Delay Visit to China Because of Conflict
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
“I think it’s important that I be here,” President Trump said of asking China to reschedule a summit. Earlier, he disparaged allies for failing to embrace his request for help to reopen the Strait of Hormuz.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Asia could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
AllScore 59
Pakistani-Afghan War Takes Heavy Toll on Civilians
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
Pakistani airstrikes have killed at least 75 civilians and displaced 115,000 in Afghanistan, with both sides vowing escalation and no talks in sight.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in All could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
EuropeScore 59
Why is NYC’s Mamdani facing criticism over response to attacks on wife?
Geopolitics•high intensity•low confidence
Mayor's wife criticised for past work related to Palestine, while Mamdani's response rebuked by some supporters.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Europe could materially affect Geopolitics conditions and broader decision-making.
AsiaScore 59
Trump seeks to delay meeting with China’s Xi by ‘month or so’ amid Iran war
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
The US president delays March 31-April 2 trip to China to focus on the escalating war against Iran.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Asia could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
Middle EastScore 59
Iran says wars are not won on social media
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
A spokesperson for Iran's Central Headquarters said wars are decided on the battlefield, not social media.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Middle East could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
EuropeScore 55
Wary allies show there's no quick fix to Trump's Iran crisis
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
European leaders are hesitant to help Trump secure the Strait of Hormuz, but they know inaction on the Iran war is not really an option.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Europe could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.
EuropeScore 55
Ukraine eyes money and tech in return for Middle East drone support
Technology•high intensity•low confidence
Ukraine leader previously said advisers were sent to Qatar, UAE, and Saudi Arabia to help thwart Iranian drone attacks.
Why this matters: This high-intensity development involving Global strategic environment in Europe could materially affect Technology conditions and broader decision-making.